Monday, February 18, 2013

Ratings Arbitrage: How to Use Student Loans to Maximize Mortgage Subsidies



In this post, we are going to look further at the connection between student loans and mortgages – particularly conforming loans that are guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  Navigating the interwoven world of government subsidized finance can be difficult and, at times, totally mind bending, as the government often times contradicts or deceives its own underwriting standards.  One such example of this is the treatment of student loans by Fannie and Freddie.  In the following, we are going to examine how the next-generation of homeowners can use student loan refinancing in order to receive much better treatment from Fannie and Freddie.

Fannie Mae was created in 1938 as part of the New Deal.  Fannie existed as a government agency until the 1960’s, at which point it was partially privatized with an “implicit” guarantee from the US Treasury.  Freddie Mac, Fannie’s identical twin, was created at this same time to provide adequate competition to Fannie Mae.  Both Fannie and Freddie collapsed with the housing crisis in 2008 and were subsequently re-absorbed by the government after a substantial taxpayer bailout.  The entities exist today in an awkward limbo: they are still private companies but are essentially 100% owned by the government with a direct line of credit to the US Treasury.  One might wonder why these entities continue to exist in this convoluted structure.  The simplest answer is: keeping them as a GSE under an “implicit” guarantee allows Congress to forego accounting for the liabilities of Fannie and Freddie as part of its budget and debt calculations.

Despite their messy ownership structure, Fannie and Freddie still perform the same basic function they did before 2008: they buy “conforming” mortgages from local banks, guarantee the mortgage payments and then re-sell the packaged loans as mortgage backed securities (MBS) to global investors.  This process allows local banks to originate mortgages and then sell them to Fannie/Freddie for cash, which allows those same banks to then make new loans to more borrowers.  In today’s market, 90% of all mortgages are sold to either Fannie or Freddie.  This means that essentially all mortgages today are underwritten according to Fannie/Freddie’s definition of “conforming loans.”

The definition of a conforming loan is the single most important delineation in the American consumer financial market.  It is also one of the most rudimentary and unsophisticated.  There are essentially four criteria that Fannie/Freddie use to determine the status of a potential mortgage borrower:

  • Loan to Value (LTV): the ratio of the mortgage amount to the appraised value of the property; 
  • Credit Score: middle score from the three credit bureaus; 
  • Debt-to-Income (DTI): the ratio of monthly debt payments to monthly gross income;
  • Minimum Reserve Requirement: required number of monthly payments a borrower must have as a reserve of liquid assets 


We are particularly interested in the DTI criteria.  The table above is the “eligibility matrix” for Fannie Mae, which delineates the qualifications for a conforming loan.  As shown, the maximum DTI at which a borrower can qualify for a conforming loan is 45%; and, there are several other delineations that restrict borrowing limits if DTI is above 36%.  This is important because DTI is calculated as the ratio of monthly income to monthly obligations, including both proposed mortgage payments and existing installment debts, including student loans.  As a result, recent graduates who are paying too much on their existing student loans will also have more difficulty in obtaining government mortgages.  Fortunately, there is a simple solution: refinance with Prime Student Loan.

To illustrate this point, let’s look at what that calculation might look like.  Let’s assume that a borrower is buying a single family home for $300,000 and is looking to obtain a 95% LTV mortgage for $285,000.  Let’s further assume that the borrower is a recent college graduate with $80,000 in student loan debt, gross annual income of $60,000, and a FICO score of 720.  We can then calculate their DTI under their current student loan portfolio and a post-refinancing portfolio.  The results are shown below left.


As one can see, under their current student loan repayment strategy, this borrower would not qualify for a conforming loan with the current terms.  The borrower would have to either reduce the loan amount (increase the down payment) or lower their offering price.  Alternatively, if the borrower refinanced their existing student loans into a lower rate and longer term, they would simultaneously reduce their DTI, as calculated by Fannie and Freddie.  Under this new refinancing strategy, this borrower would be approved for the mortgage and on their way to home ownership!  

At PSL, we are constantly imploring student loan borrowers to capitalize on refinancing opportunities in order to lower their monthly payments and maximize their financial flexibility.  While this financial flexibility might seem unnecessary to some borrowers, it is my hope that this example helps illuminate why that flexibility is so valuable.  In addition to obtaining better mortgage opportunities, I would note that FICO scores include a similar DTI calculation, as do auto loans and credit cards.  So, in conclusion, if you are thinking about buying a home, buying a car or taking out a new credit card, then you could be greatly harming yourself if you do not look into student loan refinancing before you solicit other forms of consumer debt.
 

 

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